If you have not heard by now, most people who trade
commodities lose money. Most of the
estimates range in the 80 to 95 percent range of those who have lost or who are
losing in the world of trading commodities.
Those statistics are dismal for someone who wants to venture into
trading commodities. Fortunately, in my
opinion, a large amount of this...
Time decay of futures options is a major factor option
traders must consider before they buy a futures option contract. Time decay of options means that options
theoretically lose money every day, since they have a limited life.
All futures option contracts have an expiration date.
Basically, an option contract is a bet that a market...
A good case can be made for the copper market to be a star performer among commodities in the next few years. However, you wouldn’t know it by the price action lately. Copper futures prices are down about 25% from 2018 and have lost about half their value since the all-time high set in 2011. Copper has...
Natural gas is suffering the woes of plentiful supplies this year and the lack of a catalyst to push prices higher. As a result, natural gas futures prices have dropped about 28 percent from the peak this year in March. The fundamental picture doesn’t look good at this point and the market will probably need some significant...
As I look through the longer-term commodity charts, I see
one downtrending market after another.
The main exception is the precious metals. The weakness in commodity
prices seems to makes sense with the increased recession talk on the financial
networks. Economic growth in Europe is anemic and may be recession bound in the
near future. Now let’s not forget that the yield...
