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There are many options strategies using various combinations of puts, calls, and futures that can be tailored to take advantage of a particular set of market expectations and circumstances. Ultimately, a trader's objectives, view of the market, and ability to carry risk will determine which strategy to use.

Options/Futures Strategies
Price Outlook
Strategy
Profit
Risk
BullishBuy FuturesUnlimitedUnlimited
BullishBuy CallUnlimitedLimited
Neutral/bearishSell callLimitedUnlimited
BearishSell futuresUnlimitedUnlimited
BearishBuy putUnlimitedLimited
Neutral/bearishSell putLimitedUnlimited
Increase in volatilityBuy straddleUnlimitedLimited
Decrease in volatilitySell straddleLimitedUnlimited

For example, if an out-of-the-money options contract is chosen for hedging programs, protection will be low in cost but not as extensive as the protection provided by programs using in- or at-the-money options. In order to be exercised, out-of-the-money options require the greatest difference in the price of the underlying future, resulting in less risk to the options seller. The distance between the strike price of the options contract and the value of the underlying futures contract can be viewed as the equivalent of an insurance deductible. In return for the higher premium paid for in- and at-the-money options, the deductible is reduced and protection is immediate beyond the cost of the options contracts. In fact, an in-the-money options contract will behave similarly to the underlying futures contract.

Each of the strategies presented here contains a brief description and a profit/loss profile. The profit/loss profile of individual options strategies is examined with respect to changes in futures prices. Maximum profit and maximum loss at expiration are indicated on each chart. Profit/loss measures the change in value of the entire position implicit in each strategy, including those cases in which multiple options and futures positions are examined. Net debits, credits and deltas reflect the entire position.

The delta of an options contract can also be considered as a hedge ratio. Deltas of deep in-the-money options are approximately equal to one; deltas of at-the-money options are 0.5, and deltas of deep out-of-the-money options approach zero. The delta can also be thought of as a measure of the probability of an options contract finishing in the money on the expiration date.

Options premiums were estimated using the Black-Scholes options pricing model. All strategies are based on NYMEX Division light, sweet, crude oil options and the COMEX Division gold options.

The crude oil options contract is priced in dollars per barrel, 1,000 barrels per contract; the gold options contract is priced in dollars per troy ounce, 100 ounces per contract. For these examples, the following assumptions were made:

  • The crude oil futures price is $20 per barrel when the position is established; the gold futures price is $260 per ounce.
  • Crude oil volatility is 30%. Gold volatility is 13%.
  • The interest rate is 5%.
  • The options contract expires in 90 days from the time the position is established. The time to expiration affects options premiums.
  • In each example, debits are funds paid out by the buyer of the position and credits are funds received by the writer of the position.

    Potential strategies include:

    Long At-the-Money Call
    Short Out-of-the-Money Call
    Covered Call
    Ratio Write
    Long Out-of-the-Money Call
    Long At-the-Money Put
    Short Out-of-the-Money Put
    Short Covered Put
    Bull Call Spread
    Bear Call Spread
    Bear Put Spread
    Bull Put Spread
    Long At-the-Money Straddle
    Long Strangle
    Short At-the-Money Straddle
    Short Strangle
    Call Ratio Backspread
    Put Ratio Backspread
    Synthetic Long Put
    Synthetic Long Call
    Synthetic Short Futures
    Synthetic Long Futures
    Fence

    *Information Courtesy of



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